You are right that things would still look like we’re accelerating away from us, even if we were actually contracting.
Interesting hypothesis! How do we investigate?
What could we expect from a large central gravitational point? We should have other signs of the gravity well:
We would expect a point that we contract towards (and that seems ill fitting, as we see the expansion moves as the observer (including earth) moves), we would expect some kind of mass or similar effect, which would also have a size to fit it in (we know that gravity works different when you’re inside the mass, and we would be able to see it, much like black holes or dark matter), we would expect things to orbit the gravity well (which we know that at least our galaxy doesn’t orbit us).
You might want to actually check on these things to make sure they apply and are true, but at least at first glance it seems the expansion is better explained without a central gravity.
I can’t find direct data on how many illegal immigrations are happening in Texas every year, but the undocumented population is estimated to be about 1,5 million, and stable. [source]
Between 2022 and 2023, the legal migrant population increased by 10k, and eligible migrants decreased by 50k. If we assume that the whole difference is only due to illegal immigrants naturalizing, that would mean that the Texas yearly influx of immigrants is 60k. [source]
That would mean that the “invasion” requiring armed self defence/martial law is for 60k civilians.
About 10 million Texans yearly travel over 50 miles, [source], does that mean Texas is invading most of the US annually?
(also, it’s ridiculous that you don’t have clear data and statistics on this exact question. Sometimes I love living in the EU)