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Cake day: June 14th, 2023

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  • Discussion: you can have an “extinction event” in any ecosystem-- not just biological ones.

    For example, the abandonment of steam locomotives in the mid-20th-century, or the Home Computer crash of the 1980s.

    Similar to a biological mass extinction, you have:

    • A discernable ecosystem change, either a sudden event (the introduction of reliable, mass-produced diesel locomotives), or a measurable decline of “habitability factors” (as hundreds of firms brought cheap 8-bit computers to market, retail space and overall consumer interest saturated)
    • a rapid diversification of new and exotic types to fill the vacated niches (the cabless “B-unit” and flexible “road-switcher” locomotive types didn’t exist in the steam era. The post-crash computer market brought in new entrants like cheap IBM clones, the C128 and Atari 130XE, all chasing a sub-$1000 market that was now free of Sinclair, Coleco, and Texas Instruments)
    • followed by a shake out and consolidation of the survivors/winners as they select for fitness in the new world (ALCO was a strong #2 in the diesel locomotive market in 1950, but didn’t make it to 1970. The C128 never became the world-beater its predecessor did.)
    • a few niches largely untouched (China was still building steam locomotives into the 1990s. The Apple II series lasted about as long.)











  • I always found it fascinating how the law is such a unique and cloistered ecosystem.

    The sciences and arts encourage self-education and self-discovery. Constructive disruption is admired and moves the fields forward. Those who make it accessible and reachable are celebrated.

    I love your phrasing “law-priests”. The law is the religion in a secular state. It has all the same trappings:

    • The ranks and orders of clergy, where only they are fit to interpret the sacred scripts, with strong bias and penalty for trying to do so as an uneducated layman
    • Adherence to doctrine and continuity (precedent) even as the environment it was established in no longer exists
    • The constant urge to obfuscate and revel in exclusive language, to continue the air of mystery and impermeability.
    • An overall attitude of fear and submission encouraged by the impenetrability. Even our richest and most powerful still fear the legal system for its caprice, and attempt to ward themselves from it with sigils and charms made of contracts.

    Someone needs to nail up some theses to the door of the Supreme Court.








  • The thing where he lost control of the narrative?

    Nibbling at the corners night be effective, but it’s not the sort of sound bite that makes a great campaign.

    Democracy runs on vibes, and it’s sad to say, but he might need style more than substance here. Do something that can’t be filtered thriugh 92 layers of Congress and the Courts neutering it- something unforgettable. Play a keytar in a neon leotard on Colbert. Promise the return of the 99-cent Taco Supreme. Announce that he could drop Rishi Sunak in a bare-knuckle fight. Go full Dark Brandon.