Profile pic is from Jason Box, depicting a projection of Arctic warming to the year 2100 based on current trends.

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Cake day: March 3rd, 2024

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  • On a positive note: imagine how large scale and resilient the US economy is to not yet be nose first in the ground already. Don’t mistake me, it’s bad and heading that way, and lots of damage and people have been hurt, but even the bankruptcy king who can ruin businesses that run themselves couldn’t immediately tank it.

    It’s like the bull ran through the china shop a few times, and while there’s debris on the floor, there’s still a lot that hasn’t been knocked down. Oh wait, here he comes through again…





  • David Kipping introduced me to the idea that the window of opportunity for intelligent life may be far smaller than we used to think. It’s a companion to the Rare Earth hypothesis of having so many variables that MIGHT need to exist to make things work, but assuming all conditions are good for what we consider hospitable, how long a planet has before the star changes and how soon basic life starts is not that long cosmically.

    Simply put, new life after whatever this climate run stabilized to won’t have a billion years before the Sun begins to change. Not turn into a red giant or dwarf, those are far off still, but it will begin its path towards those long before the actual event, and conditions here will worsen for a teeming biosphere.

    To quote “Hamilton”, life only gets probably one shot. Maybe two or three if it’s fast, but we can probably count a few of the mass extinctions that set things back for that.