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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 17th, 2023

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  • Yeah… I don’t think there is actually good proof that something being illegal actually stops a meaningful number of things on its own. There are plenty of studies that people do things that are socially frowned upon less IN FRONT OF OTHER PEOPLE (say littering for example), but very weak evidence it stops such activity in any meaningful way in private settings. Likewise there is plenty of evidence that other forms of punishment (which is to say, no immediate social stigma) actually don’t really correlate with reduced activity at all.


  • I feel like you all like to invent people to pretend you’ve upset. I don’t really consider myself a lib, but in classic left fashion, people to the left of me will call me one. The only time I start downvoting stuff about Biden is when its clearly false or its people saying they aren’t going to vote (or worse, will vote for trump). Frankly I think most of those people are likely fake. You want to point out bad stuff about Biden, please do. You want to push him on issues, please do. You want to fight grassroots for better elected officials where you can get them in, please do. Just don’t lie and don’t decide to give up on the idea of governance all together (see accelerationism).






  • I’m not saying AI can’t be disruptive. I’m saying we aren’t there. The steady progress you think you are seeing is bought with increased processing power, the science isn’t advancing steadily, it advances in unpredictable jumps. Because the performance gained with processing power is reaching its peak, we’ll need at least another one of those unpredictable jumps for it to get to a state that will do what the comment I was responding to was claiming. It could be another 50 years before that happens, or it could be tomorrow.



  • The current AI boom is all based on a single paper from about 7 years ago, and has been achieved by just throwing more and more computing power at it. There has been basically no meaningful architecture improvements in that time and we are already seeing substantial fall off from throwing more power at the problem. I don’t think its a given at all that we are close to the kind of disruption you are predicting.