Nate Silver is no longer at 538.
There are different people running the models these days.
Everyone was wrong in 2016.
538 was the least wrong of any model anywhere.
And Nate Silver was ridiculed at the time for giving Trump such a high chance of winning, before the election.
I mean, someone is flying an upside down Betsy Ross flag in my neighborhood (the one with 13 stars in a circle).
And I live in the middle of a city.
The difference is that Nixon was able to secure a pardoned in exchange for fucking off and staying out of the public eye. And to be fair, he held up his end of the deal.
No way is Donnie going to fuck off.
Obviously. But that’s not an answer.
My question is: what are the concrete desires of the capital class that are being threatened?
Someone else said “oil” which is fair I guess, but very clearly a diminishing return when it’s clear that energy independence is valuable for the capital class if they control the transition, a la Elon.
So again, what do the wealthy have to gain or lose from these protests, specifically?
How do the protests and the war in Gaza threaten the wealthy?
That’s moot. His supporters aren’t going to switch their vote to Biden over this.
What this may do, however, is prevent some moderate Republicans from switching their vote to Biden.
This is a smart move. Smart enough that I doubt the Clown Prince of Diapers came up with it himself.
The Internet.
Computers do a lot of things. But the Internet specifically is the aspect of the computer that revolutionized the world.
¿Por qué no los dos?
It’s no different than if you fed your children say, mercury, and then claimed you believed it was helpful because of Facebook gurus or similarly unaccredited sources.
I totally agree that children should be vaccinated.
But I just want to point out that there is a difference between actively doing something to harm your kid, and passively not doing something to protect your kid.
Lack of protection is not equivalent to active harm.
Parents should still be required to vaccinate their kids.
Relevant xkcd
States decide the procedures for getting onto the ballot.
The SCOTUS ruling is that states cannot apply the 14th amendment to keep someone off of the ballot, which is a separate issue from whether the party/candidate followed the proper process for getting onto the ballot in the first place.
Illegal how?
States have processes for deciding who is on the ballot. All candidates who wish to be on the ballot must follow those processes, including the incumbent president.
because he’s afraid of the stock market dipping.
You are giving Trump far too much credit.
The man neither understands nor cares about macroeconomics.
He wants power in order to enrich himself. He has no other policy position.
Putin’s strapped for cash too.
The ruble is in the toilet. All of the oligarchs’ foreign assets are frozen. The “two-week special military operation” in Ukraine has dragged on since 2022.
Saving folks a click.
113M shares times $31/share is $3.5B.
That’s wild. No way the company is worth that, much less his share.