Trump didn’t make the leap to directly say to do that, but he did clearly think that strong lights and disinfectant in the body ‘should be looked into’. He was saved from directly making a terrible recommendation by having some amount of deference for the medical organizations, but did try to show ‘thought leadership’ in a very dumb direction.

It was not some sort of Stanford spinning up wild concepts, it was Trump taking very obvious things about how we handle these things outside the body and thinking that we would be the first to ask ‘but what about inside the body?’. Yes, he phrased it as a question to be looked into, but he clearly thought there could be something to it.

About the only credit you can give to first term Trump in this scenario is that he at least ultimately left health issues up to the health departments, even as he groused the whole time.

“Cigarettes can’t hurt you, anything that goes in the lungs you can just blow it back out again”

Nah, President Dwayne Elizondo Mountain Dew Camacho at least wanted the smartest man in the world trying to solve problems for him. This administration wouldn’t let a smart man near anything.

That’s just proof that he’s onto something, Big Cancer is afraid to admit that a cheap cancer cure already exists, obviously.

To be fair, if a left winger got endorsed by Vance, that would pretty much also kill their political career.

Vance’s status as poison is a universal thing for the entire political spectrum.

Now I’m going to vote for you.

Frankly, the American voting public cares less about the unjust deaths of untold many foreign folks than the price of eggs 8 months before the vote.

Texas Railroad Commissioner

Well guess he’s looking to use a lot of trains for something. Seems familiar…

stand in contrast to President Donald Trump’s ability to move markets throughout his first term and into his second.

This makes it sound like Trump otherwise had a uniquely good effect on markets. But his “good times” look the same as the market has looked back to the 90s except during Dubya’s term when the markets were very “meh” the whole time before crashing out.

Now he’s done perhaps even worse than dubya…

Of course I also see that the go spawns python and does stuff with that…

And there’s lots of other dubious issues that look like an odd mismash of intro level programming stuff with unfortunate performance implications, and a very strong vibe code smell, though the commit interval is a bit larger than I would have presumed with vibe coding, but the volume of changes seem AI sloppy…

Well, broadly it looks like slop, probably AI slop, but either way I wouldn’t go anywhere near this project…

If they draft near-revolutionary people they get access to military equipment and incleases likelihood of actual revolution. If you concentrate them then they can coalesce as a group. If you spread them out then a lot of units will be dragged down.

Using ICE to round up dissenters avoids the risk of arming the would-be revolutionaries with credible military equipment.

Yeah, I thought if anything, Vietnam tought the lesson that the draft is a terrible idea for overseas deployment.

Of course, learning from history is not exactly the style of this administration.

To split hairs, I think it can be conceivable, but just not possible to assign a viable probability to.

Some one could have conceived a black swan, but since it had never ever happened, there was no data to drive a percent chance of finding one

Some virus that instead of killing anyone just manages to somehow make everyone compulsively tell the truth. Could be imagined, but it would be ridiculous to ask how that possibility is accommodated for in someones financial model.

Even if someone could somehow define a probability for that event, no way of really modeling the outcome since the ability to lie has been always part of the economy.

Because it’s not a very compelling theory that people particularly say this one out over various reasons. The turnout was actually above average by a few percent. It also assumes that most of those non voters would have gone against Trump. Which is far from assured

Yes, in competitive states, they when by playing the reasonable centrist that swears they are willing to stand up to their party…

Never actually doing so when it could actually matter.

This was my thought as well. Perhaps the best way to step back from tariffs without looking like chickening out, and about the right time for campaign season to ramp up.

If his admin has any sense of strategy, they’ll take the out and then brag about price reductions in summer.

My belief has been they had to totally screw up 2025 to make people feel like 2026 would be getting better. I anticipate too many folks will just see year to year improvement and not reflect on why 2025 was a particularly rough year.

The repercussions will be at worst felt by the grunts on the ground, and those repercussions will be used as an excuse to somehow disregard contentious voting site results…

I hope your optimism is vidicated, but…

This specific race was for a deep-blue seat, prior to this race the Republican candidate had at best gotten 18%, and this time the republican got 38%, the most any republican has ever gotten for that state seat. Comparing Trump vote to state senate run seems to be apples and oranges for this district.

EVERY special election has gone against Republicans badly.

Well, except for the fact that not a single seat has been flipped. I suppose I can grant that the Republicans slipped 10-15 points in these races compared to the election where Trump was running, but of the three chances to actually flip a republican seat, none did anything.

On the senate, looking at the seats up, I could see maybe Georgia, NC, and Maine as potentially flippable, very remote chance of Texas… So 2-3 gains for the democrats at most. I don’t think Senate is realistically in play, they need to flip 4 red seats to get even a simple majority, still well short of a filibuster proof majority and impossibly short of a veto-proof/remove president from office majority.

his Insurrection and his Stolen Classified Documents

While not ‘dead’ dead, the supreme court basically gave him a 100% pass on the insurrection, they basically declared that a president cannot be held criminally liable for anything while in office. The classified documents maybe but the supreme court can easily intervene and say the records are forever under the president’s jurisdiction to classify as he pleases.

For context, here’s how the elections have gone down since 2011 for that seat:

Not exactly a huge pro-democrat swing. This is actually the strongest contested result the republicans have had for this seat…

But is it an overperform? Looking back to 2011, the strongest performance by a GOP for this specific seat is 38%, and it was this election, the last GOP candidate had 18% before this…

For whatever reason, local and presidential elections can very much swing differently, and in this example it clearly looks like you can’t read much of anything into the results since it has been different from presidential outcomes already…