• Got_Bent@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    15
    ·
    edit-2
    3 months ago

    Real clear politics still has trump with 297 electoral votes. Long way to go. I certainly like how things have been trending lately though.

    • OneStepAhead@lemmynsfw.com
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      3
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      3 months ago

      Yep. Need PA and either AZ or WI to make it work. As Much as RCP doesn’t always show the numbers I personally want, it does seem to have accurate polling.

    • numberfour002@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      2
      ·
      3 months ago

      Am I missing something? I just checked and it seems like it is currently showing:

      Harris 208

      Toss Ups 111

      Trump/Vance 219

        • Zaktor@sopuli.xyz
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          5
          ·
          3 months ago

          I don’t believe RCP tries to judge pollsters accuracy at all, they just throw it into an average and call it done. So they get flooded by bad rightwing polls and end up saying Republicans are winning while places like 538 say the opposite. The NYT polling averages someone else posted have Harris up in NV, WI, and PA, which flips the race.