• dhork@lemmy.world
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    20 hours ago

    It might end up being different this time around:

    • much of the opposition to nuking the Filibuster was done by people with Respect For Senate Traditions, like Manchin, who are not running again.

    • Democrats that remain remember the shit McConnell pulled when he was majority leader, and are not as likely to have this Respect for Senate Traditions when they know Republican leadership will not hesitate to shit on those traditions if it suits them.

    • since Senate terms each cover 3 sessions of Congress, they are divided into three classes, where 33/34 Senators are in each class. Counting the independant seats, Democrats have 23 seats to defend in this Senate class. If they retain their majority this election, it will be easier to maintain over the next 6 years of their term as Republicans have more seats to defend than Democrats in the next 2 elections. They may be more willing to go full Nuclear if they don’t have to deal with the fallout for a few years.