cyd@lemmy.world to

politics @lemmy.world · 6 months ago

Nate Silver's model for the 2024 election is out, currently predicts a 65% chance of a Trump victory.

www.natesilver.net

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Nate Silver's model for the 2024 election is out, currently predicts a 65% chance of a Trump victory.

www.natesilver.net

cyd@lemmy.world to

politics @lemmy.world · 6 months ago

78

The presidential election isn't a toss-up

www.natesilver.net

As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.

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6 months ago
It was not a prediction of victory… it was a 71% chance of winning the electoral college. Said another way, they gave her a 29% chance of losing.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

politics @lemmy.world

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