What is called for is more specific poll results. Like included in the data is that California went up 5% for Harris. Which doesn’t matter in real terms, those electoral votes were never up for grabs.
In the states that are considered credibly not already settled, the polling results don’t seem to have moved much, except maybe Pennsylvania is a hair more toward Harris than before, but it’s still well within the margin of error it is so close.
I mean this is why any blue maga from the previous 8 months needs to be named, shamed, and tied to a stake at the edge of town.
Democrats never needed to be in this position, and it wasn’t Biden to blame for the unforced error, but the anti democratic culture within the DNC, main stream media, and large social media that worked it’s ass of to shut down any questioning of Biden as presumptive nominee. That did more damage than Trump ever could have. Trump isn’t the reason Harris starts off polling in the 40s, Blue MAGA is.
The VP pick up seems make or break for the early momentum Harris got. Shapiro seems like cold water; Walz seems like it would add fuel. If she goes Shapiro, this 1% week over week delta is going to stall out, because she’s signaled to progressives and black and brown people she doesn’t take Gaza seriously and that puts MI on the chopping block.
Prob the most interesting presidential race in a hundred years.
5% at a minimum.
8% to be a real favorite.
12% percent and it’s locked up.
Well technically you hypothetically could win an election with only 23% of the popular vote.
Yeah but we have actual data to support what I said
What is called for is more specific poll results. Like included in the data is that California went up 5% for Harris. Which doesn’t matter in real terms, those electoral votes were never up for grabs.
In the states that are considered credibly not already settled, the polling results don’t seem to have moved much, except maybe Pennsylvania is a hair more toward Harris than before, but it’s still well within the margin of error it is so close.
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I mean this is why any blue maga from the previous 8 months needs to be named, shamed, and tied to a stake at the edge of town.
Democrats never needed to be in this position, and it wasn’t Biden to blame for the unforced error, but the anti democratic culture within the DNC, main stream media, and large social media that worked it’s ass of to shut down any questioning of Biden as presumptive nominee. That did more damage than Trump ever could have. Trump isn’t the reason Harris starts off polling in the 40s, Blue MAGA is.
The VP pick up seems make or break for the early momentum Harris got. Shapiro seems like cold water; Walz seems like it would add fuel. If she goes Shapiro, this 1% week over week delta is going to stall out, because she’s signaled to progressives and black and brown people she doesn’t take Gaza seriously and that puts MI on the chopping block.
Prob the most interesting presidential race in a hundred years.
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Walz went from 25% to 53% over the course of the day on polymarket.
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Its between Shapiro and Walz. Buttigieg is out, so is the astronaut. I guess we don’t find out tonight.
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