Democrats are currently leading Republicans in the RealClearPolling generic congressional average
A blue wave may not be as certain as some polls have predicted, experts warn ahead of Election Day, noting forecasts may be skewed because Trump supporters are notoriously difficult to reach, according to a report.
While current polls paint a positive picture for Democrats ahead of the midterms this November 3 — some pollsters are questioning whether that number may be inflated due to supporters of President Donald Trump being difficult to reach by pollsters, Axios reported.
Polls previously underestimated Trump’s support during the presidential races in 2016, 2020 and 2024. Even though midterm polling is typically more accurate, some still underestimated Republican support in 2022, Scott Keeter, senior survey adviser at Pew Research Center, told Axios.
I hope that it is a big blue wave and this corrupt lunatic will have a congress with a spine but I am getting 2016 Clinton hubris vibes.
Democrats aren’t winning shit. Regardless of the actual legit results, you can bet your ass that the Republicans won’t concede power.
You might be correct.
Bet your ass they will.
Republicans depend on the “good cop” to “save the day” by taking office and “fixing” things by rolling the gains back a bit (but not reverse anything).
… just as Democrats depend on Republicans to blame for their “failures” (like when they pretend to try and raise minimum wage).
You must be new to US politics. It’s a tag team. Watch and see.
The only thing Clinton and Harris taught me was that Dems (and boomers) dislike them some highly qualified, educated women.
I will vote dem predominantly going forward (bus analogy and all that) but damn, like folding pocket aces. The opponent makes it even more cutting.
They can win a majority but it won’t do much, and then people will get mad they didn’t fix everything they don’t like and swing back to maga in '28. The road to Idiocracy is paved with repeating bad choices.
Right now Dem leaders are crunching the numbers, figuring out how many bribe checks they can cash and still win 51% of the vote, or 50.00001%, even better. Their best political strategists are ON IT. Just like in the last election. Nothing has fundamentally changed. Not a single. effing. thing.
Hey! It’s hard work for them make sure that we have a tight margin so that we can always be JUST SHY of whatever the working class wants.
JUST VOTE “BLUE” HARDER
49.99999%. You can raise more money by almost winning, and that’s what the consultants are incentivised to do.
https://youtu.be/sI0vtqxoG1k?t=95
video content
Lex Luthor beats up The Question, while explaining: “President? Do you know how much power I’d have to give up to be President?”
Payday is before and during elections. Not after
Payday is every day. they don’t stop receiving “donations”. Ever.
The turdpublicans will just try to cheat anyways.
There should be a website about politicians, their history, their policies, what they actually voted for versus their stance. The democratic party has proven they’re one side of the same coin, but there are still people out there trying to make a change.
Charles Crist is a prime example of being a Repulicrat and a Democran.
There is. It’s called Track AIPAC But now AIPAC is changing a lot of their funding sources. I’m sure much more goes to our resident foreign paid agents through crypto too
I’ll check it out; ironically I have to write a paper for class on special interest groups and yeah that’s one of the two I picked.
Voting record isn’t as useful as you’d think. They tend to vote for policy they don’t like when they don’t have the numbers to stop it. Purely so they can take credit for a popular thing they fought against.
But a record (and a voting populace using that record) would also disincentivise such voting behavior, would it not?
Tell me about. It’s always fun to hear “70% voted in favor for this amendment, we will find a way to overrule this.”
There should be a website about politicians, their history, their policies, what they actually voted for versus their stance.
Wish there was a government Wikipedia that lets you click through a represenative’s/senator’s committee assignments by person, that but backwards, see a person’s voting history in an easy chart, dig around in issues, and who donated what to which candidate.
ballotpedia is pretty reliable but not quite as detailed as you’re looking for
Well put. I didn’t even think of the
bribesdonations. It’s a lengthy process to research preliminaries.
I was there in 2016. Ain’t nothing in the bag.
Half the country in 2016:
The polling has been very predictive when DJT isn’t on the ballot. That said, I’m not buying the rat poison.
In a universe where Donald can win two elections literally anything is possible. His supporters would vote for a wet fart if it was directed at a minority.
No matter what happens, 46+% will not believe it.
Democrat old guard will fight it tooth and nail. Vote early so you can hide MAGA momma’s car keys on election day or unhook MAGA dad’s car battery (and disconnect and hide the terminal wires too). Or just relax that day if you’re fortunate enough to not have those types in your life.
Republicans just really wanna use slurs and dont like seeing queer people in public. They’re quiet right now while the gas prices are high but they’re still gonna vote ref again.
Don’t worry they’ll find a way to blow it.
Turnout is all that matters, and polls anticipate turnout/motivation.
Always be voting for lesser evil! Rural people get luxury gay space communism voting lines. Seniors/evangelicals always turn out. You better believe that evangelicals hold their nose when they vote for Trump, but Armageddon and Israel worship is part of their programming. If you be voting, then your opinions will matter in the future. If not, then you will be safely ignored, because lemme nazis will remind you the only time politics matter to you, that DNC is shit.
Seniors now have -21 net approval of Trump down 24 from Oct 24. They may vote against him.
Rural voters overall have -20 net approval. Down 40 from Oct 24. Rural Republicans still net positive, but 26% disapprove of Trump, and 60% disapprove of Iran war related energy costs. There will be some flips from former, and more abstains from latter.
Show the fuck up. Protest DNC the next day, and organize next primaries or 3rd party.
I don’t think the polls are accounting for all the Republican and Trump voters that simply won’t show up this year. I’ve talked to many that voted for Trump who said to me they ain’t either voting ever again or not this time around.
If they tell the pollsters the same thing, their “likely voter” models pick that up. This is by far record low net approval rates for a President heading to mid terms. Senate needed to stop shenaremovedns.
Did your reply really get censored for saying shenanigans? Someone needs to turn down the auto mod. It’s set to the hyper aggressive setting.
I possibly misspelled with 2 g s . Your version is clockwork oranging my eyes successfully.
WHOOPS
Vote as though your life depends on it, because it fucking does!
Leave it to Democrats to fuck up a cost of living mid term with high gas prices and a president in the low 30s approval rating.
This should be the biggest blow out this century.
propaganda works on uneducated people
Nobody is immune. You’re being constantly bombarded and you’re not catching all of it.
there’s no such thing as immune to ideas
there is definitely an inverse correlation between education and voting against your own interests though
Sure, I just want to point out to readers that thoughts like “well it can’t happen to ME” or “they can’t mean ME because I have a degree” is wrong. Education will not shield a person, propaganda doesn’t work exclusively on the uneducated. It was meant more as a cautionary addition to your comment than a retort.
that is fair
Oligarchs are the source of the problem. Citizens United means more money supporting the fascists, and control of almost every media outlet means outright fascist propaganda on the "conservative’ networks, and minimized support for progressives on the “liberal” networks.
Establishment Democrats still give us better returns on human rights compared to the fascists, but they do bow to their oligarchal masters pretty well, yes.
The point is that progressives definitely do not have a majority in the US, much less the supermajority needed to squash fascism.
It’s up to us to deal with our oligarchs and go from there.
It should, but we are surrounded with deeply stupid people stewing in a shit-ton of conservative propaganda.
Cool story, go vote.
That’s the moral of the story here. We each control one vote and this is arguably our most important vote in history.
Seems like every vote is the most important vote of my life. I’m getting tired of it.
What’s that emoji for when a comment makes you laugh then it hits and you kinda get a tear but are also mad at the system but also are tired?
Yes. Every vote IS the most important one because it’s the one happening right now and is going to affect things in the very near future. I’m getting tired of dirty dishes but I still do them.
These aren’t dirty dishes. I’m tired of this system. I’m tired of the people running it. I’m tired of having the political beliefs leave other people the fuck alone, and that’s a hard concept for other people to follow. I’m just tired, and I don’t need people to tell me what I already know. But thanks for checking in.
Me too.
I voted (whether or not it will “get lost” before arriving or somehow be invalid is yet to be seen), and everyone else who can should as well; I don’t care what any pollsters are saying.
